Prompt to size the market for an EV startup in India
What you get: An EV market size with a growth and a stall case and the first city to start in. Copy it, fill in the parts in [BRACKETS], and run it in Kriyā or any AI assistant.
The prompt
You are an analyst covering electric vehicles in India. Size the market for this EV business.
Business: [BUSINESS]
Vehicle type: [VEHICLE]
Cities: [CITIES]
Give:
1. EVs on the road and sold per year for this vehicle type, from the figures below
2. How many of those need what we sell, and how often
3. Revenue per vehicle per year and the market in rupees
4. How the market changes if EV sales keep growing at the recent rate, and if they stall
5. The government schemes and rules that matter
6. The first city to start in and why
Rules:
- Use the India figures listed below and name the source and month next to each one you use.
- If you need a figure that is not listed, write "Assumption:" and give your reasoning instead of a number you cannot source.
- Plain words. Short sections with headings. No filler.
India figures to use (from productgrowth.in/numbers):
- India sold about 25.51 lakh electric vehicles (25,50,865) in FY2025-26, according to Vahan registration data compiled by EVreporter, up 25.02% from FY 2024-25. Source: https://productgrowth.in/numbers/ev-sales-india/
- India sold 14,01,663 electric two-wheelers in FY2026, up 22% on FY2025's 11,50,780 (Vahan retail data). Source: https://productgrowth.in/numbers/ev-two-wheeler-sales-india/
Run this in Kriyā →Kriyā opens with this prompt in its box; nothing is sent until you press send. Replace the [BRACKETS] first.
What to fill in
Replace
With
Example (used for the sample answer)
[BUSINESS]
What you sell
Battery health checks and repairs for electric scooters
[VEHICLE]
Which vehicles
Electric two-wheelers
[CITIES]
Where
Bengaluru, Pune and Hyderabad
The numbers this prompt uses
The prompt carries these figures so the answer starts from dated, sourced numbers instead of guesses. Each page shows the source, the month and the history.
Sample answer from Kriyā, 26 October 2026, for the example inputs above. Kept as it came back; links added beside each figure.
Short answer
The addressable market is roughly ₹40–60 Crore a year across the three cities (an estimate built mostly on assumptions), and it grows fast because the battery-health pool is mostly out-of-warranty scooters that are still ageing in. Start in Bengaluru. Kriyā's estimate
Note: the figures you pasted are not in my source excerpts, so I cite them as you gave them (productgrowth.in/numbers). The ~7% penetration is the only market figure I can cite [7]. Everything else below is an assumption.
1. Vehicles sold and on the road
Sold: 14,01,663 electric two-wheelers in FY2026 (Vahan, via productgrowth.in/numbers, FY2025-26), up 22% on 11,50,780 in FY2025. sourceKriyā's estimate
On the road: Assumption: FY2023-24 sales were about 9.5 lakh (not listed, so treat as a guess). Adding FY24 to FY26 gives ~35 lakh. Add FY22-23 volumes and the all-India parc is roughly 38–40 lakh e-2Ws. Kriyā's estimate
Three cities: Assumption: Bengaluru, Pune and Hyderabad hold ~15–18% of national e-2W registrations. That gives ~6 lakh scooters on the road and ~2.2 lakh sold in FY2026. Kriyā's estimate
2. Who needs what we sell, and how often
Assumption: Warranty usually covers 3 years or 30,000–50,000 km. Scooters older than 2 years, or with 20,000+ km, are the core target: roughly 40% of the parc, ~2.4 lakh vehicles. Kriyā's estimate
Health check: once a year, with ~25% of that group paying for one: ~60,000 checks. Kriyā's estimate
Repair or cell replacement: Assumption: ~8% of the group a year, from degradation, BMS faults or cell imbalance: ~19,000 jobs. Kriyā's estimate
3. Revenue per vehicle and market size
Assumption: Check ₹500–800. Repair or module work ₹6,000–18,000, average ~₹10,000. Kriyā's estimate
Serviceable market today: ~₹23 Crore. Adding preventive packs and extended-life plans, the full addressable market is ₹40–60 Crore. Kriyā's estimate
Revenue per vehicle: ~₹650 a year for a check-only customer, ~₹3,000–4,000 averaged across all out-of-warranty scooters. Kriyā's estimate
4. Growth and stall scenarios
Growth: If sales keep growing ~22% a year, today's 14 lakh sales become ~21 lakh by FY2028. The out-of-warranty pool roughly doubles in 3 years, so the market reaches ₹70–90 Crore (Assumption: constant prices, same repair rate). Kriyā's estimate
Stall: If sales flatten at ~14 lakh, the parc still ages into service age. The market grows to ₹45–60 Crore by FY2028 on ageing alone. The risk in a stall is price pressure from OEM service networks. Kriyā's estimate
5. Schemes and rules that matter
I can't cite current subsidy rules from my sources, so verify before building on them.
PM E-DRIVE (the successor to FAME II): demand incentives and charging support. Check the current e-2W subsidy status and end date.
Battery Waste Management Rules 2022: extended producer responsibility (EPR), so you need compliant disposal or recycler tie-ups for replaced cells.
Battery safety standard AIS-156 and BIS norms: they affect which cells and packs you can legally fit.
GST: 18% on repair services (assumption; confirm). Kriyā's estimate
State EV policies (Karnataka, Maharashtra, Telangana): affect registration incentives and local demand.
6. First city: Bengaluru
Assumption: It has the oldest e-2W parc (Ather, Ola and others are Bengaluru-based), so out-of-warranty demand arrives first.
Dense fleet and gig-delivery use means higher km and faster degradation, which is your core need.
Proximity to OEM engineering talent makes it easier to hire battery technicians.
Pune and Hyderabad follow once your repair rate and per-job margin are proven.
Next action: Pull Vahan registrations for the three cities for FY2022-24 to replace my parc assumptions with real counts.
Beside each figure: source links the number page it comes from, your input means it came from the example inputs, and Kriyā's estimate marks a figure Kriyā worked out or assumed with no source given; check those before you use them. Your own run will differ.